Simpson's Paradox and Collapsibility

Simpson's paradox and collapsibility are two closely related concepts in the context of data analysis. While the knowledge about the occurrence of Simpson's paradox helps a statistician to draw correct and meaningful conclusions, the concept of collapsibility deals with dimension-reduction aspects, when Simpson's paradox does not occur. We discuss in this paper in some detail the nature and the genesis of Simpson's paradox with respect to well-known examples and also various concepts of collapsiblity. The main aim is to bring out the close connections between these two phenomena, especially with regard to the analysis of contingency tables, regression models and a certain measure of association or a dependence function. There is a vast literature on these topics and so we focus only on certain aspects, recent developments and some important results in the above-mentioned areas.Comment: 19 page

Compound Poisson and signed compound Poisson approximations to the Markov binomial law

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a special case, asymptotically sharp constants are calculated. For the upper bounds, the smoothing properties of compound Poisson distributions are applied. For the lower bound estimates, the characteristic function method is used.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/09-BEJ246 the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm

On the Long-range Dependence of Fractional Poisson and Negative Binomial Processes

We study the long-range dependence (LRD) of the increments of the fractional Poisson process (FPP), the fractional negative binomial process (FNBP) and the increments of the FNBP. We first point out an error in the proof of Theorem 1 of Biard and Saussereau (2014) and prove that the increments of the FPP has indeed the short-range dependence (SRD) property, when the fractional index $\beta$ satisfies $0<\beta<\frac{1}{3}$. We also establish that the FNBP has the LRD property, while the increments of the FNBP possesses the SRD property.Comment: 17 page